Hedging Against Rising Soybeans Prices using Soybeans Futures

Best Binary Options Brokers 2020:
  • BINARIUM
    BINARIUM

    Top Broker!
    Best Choice For Beginners!
    Free Trading Education!
    Free Demo Account!
    Big Sign-up Bonus!

  • BINOMO
    BINOMO

    Perfect For Experienced Traders!

Soybean Futures

The three main producers of soy in the world are, in the following order: the U.S., Brazil, and Argentina. However, soybeans were essential to Asian cultures for hundreds of years before Western cultivation began, and today China falls just outside of the top three producers into the number four slot. Farmers enjoy the benefits of planting soybean because it clears the field for other food crops and naturally fixes the nitrogen levels in the soil that otherwise inhibit the growth of some plants. In the U.S., soybean was not even used as a food product until after the 1920s, before which it was largely considered exclusively an industrial product.

Soybean Futures Contract Specifications
Contract Size 5,000 bushels (

136 metric tons)

Price Quotation Cents per bushel
Grade And Quality #2 Yellow at contract price
#1 Yellow at a 6 cent/bushel premium
#3 Yellow at a 6 cent/bushel discount
Trading Hours Sunday – Friday 7:00 p.m. – 7:45 a.m. CT and
Monday – Friday 8:30 a.m. – 1:20 p.m. CT
Minimum Price Fluctuation 1/4 of one cent per bushel ($12.50 per contract)
Product Code CME Globex: ZS
CME ClearPort: S
Clearing: S
TAS: SBT
Listed Contracts January (F), March (H), May (K), July (N), August (Q), September (U) & November (X)
Settlement Method Deliverable
Last Trade Date The business day prior to the 15th calendar day of the contract month.
Last Delivery Date Seventh business day following the last trading day of the month.
Settlement Procedures Soybean Futures Settlement Procedures
Exchange Rules These contracts are listed with, and subject to, the rules and regulations of CBOT.
Source: CME Group

Soybean Facts

Soybeans are of one of the most active and popular markets to trade, and dominant oilseed in the U.S. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), the U.S. is the leading producer and exporter of soybeans, mainly exporting to China, EU, Japan, Mexico and Taiwan. Soybeans account for 90% of all oilseed production in the U.S. accounting for 44% of the world’s Soybean export in 2020 and 35% of the world’s Soybean production in 2020.

After corn, soybeans are the most planted crop with over 77.5 million acres planted every year, 80% of which are grown in the Upper Midwest. Soybeans are typically grown in a crop rotation with corn. Soybean planting season takes place in late Spring and then are harvested in early Autumn. They were also among the first crops to be bioengineered and receive commercial success, especially since most are resistant to herbicides. Soybeans make up the largest portion of biotech crops grown in the U.S.

Soybeans have two main byproducts — soybean meal and soybean oil. Soybean meal is a flour made by grinding the solid residue of soybean oil production and is primarily used for animal feed due to its high protein content. Soybean oil is a “vegetable oil” that is extracted by crushing soybeans. It is mainly used as cooking but is also used in an extensive list of food products. Soybean oil has also grown in popularity due to the introduction of Biodiesel.

Last updated October 2020

Additional Info

Recent Posts on Soybeans

  • The Swine Times 3/24 – Exit (3/24/2020) – Exit April-Oct as it surges
  • Friday Morning in Grain and Oilseeds 3/20 (3/20/2020) – Its a big option expiration day in the markets, today will likely see record volume across everything. Grains and beans are on the move
  • The Swine Times 3/18 – Cattle Recommendation (3/18/2020) – Its been a good day so far for bull spreads. We are going to venture into cattle

Primary Sidebar

Tips & Strategies

The FED, USD, and the Coronavirus Outbreak

The 2020 outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) created a financial environment driven by angst and trepidation. COVID-19 panic swept the globe, placing the world’s capital structure under extreme pressure. The result was consistently high volatilities in the commodity, equity, currency, and debt markets.

Is the Coronavirus Causing a Global Recession?

Traditional financial theory suggests that a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative growth in a nation’s gross domestic product (GDP). The underpinnings of these types of economic downturns vary. Typically, a recession is attributed to commodity pricing instability, market crashes, inflation, or extraordinary events.

How to Use Commodity Futures to Hedge

Futures are the most popular asset class used for hedging. Strictly speaking, investment risk can never be completely eliminated, but its impacts can be mitigated or passed on. Hedging through future agreements between two parties has been in existence for decades.

Best Binary Options Brokers 2020:
  • BINARIUM
    BINARIUM

    Top Broker!
    Best Choice For Beginners!
    Free Trading Education!
    Free Demo Account!
    Big Sign-up Bonus!

  • BINOMO
    BINOMO

    Perfect For Experienced Traders!

Farmers and consumers used to mutually agree on the price of staples like rice and wheat for a future transaction date. Soft commodities like coffee are known to have standard exchange-traded contracts dating back to 1882.

Key Takeaways

  • Hedging is a way to reduce risk exposure by taking an offsetting position in a closely related product or security.
  • In the world of commodities, both consumers and producers of them can use futures contracts to hedge.
  • Hedging with futures effectively locks in the price of a commodity today, even if it will actually be bought or sold in physical form in the future.

Hedging Commodities

Let’s look at some basic examples of the futures market, as well as the return prospects and risks.

For simplicity’s sake, we assume one unit of the commodity, which can be a bushel of corn, a liter of orange juice, or a ton of sugar. Let’s look at a farmer who expects one unit of soybean to be ready for sale in six months’ time. Assume that the current spot price of soybeans is $10 per unit. After considering plantation costs and expected profits, he wants the minimum sale price to be $10.10 per unit, once his crop is ready. The farmer is concerned that oversupply or other uncontrollable factors might lead to price declines in the future, which would leave him with a loss.

Here are the parameters:

  • Price protection is expected by the farmer (minimum $10.10).
  • Protection is needed for a specified period of time (six months).
  • Quantity is fixed: the farmer knows that he will produce one unit of soybean during the stated time period.
  • His aim is to hedge (eliminate the risk/loss), not speculate.

Futures contracts, by their specifications, fit the above parameters:

  • They can be bought or sold today for fixing a future price.
  • They are for a specified period of time, after which they expire.
  • The quantity of the futures contract is fixed.
  • They offer hedging.

Assume a futures contract on one unit of soybean with six months to expiry is available today for $10.10. The farmer can sell this futures contract (short sell) to gain the required protection (locking in the sale price).

How This Works: Producer Hedge

If the price of soybeans shoots up to say $13 in six months, the farmer will incur a loss of $2.90 (sell price-buy price = $10.10-$13.00) on the futures contract. He will be able to sell his actual crop produce at the market rate of $13, which will lead to a net sale price of $13 – $2.90 = $10.10.

If the price of soybeans remains at $10, the farmer will benefit from the futures contract ($10.10 – $10 = $0.10). He will sell his soybeans at $10, leaving his net sale price at $10 + $0.10 = $10.10

If the price declines to $7.50, the farmer will benefit from the futures contract ($10.10 – $7.50 = $2.60). He will sell his crop produce at $7.50, making his net sale price $10.10 ($7.50 + $2.60).

In all three cases, the farmer is able to shield his desired sale price by using futures contracts. The actual crop produce is sold at available market rates, but the fluctuation in prices is eliminated by the futures contract.

Hedging is not without costs and risks. Assume that in the first above-mentioned case, the price reaches $13, but the farmer did not take a futures contract. He would have benefited by selling at a higher price of $13. Because of futures position, he lost an extra $2.90. On the other hand, the situation could have been worse for him the third case, when he was selling at $7.50. Without futures, he would have suffered a loss. But in all cases, he is able to achieve the desired hedge.

How This Works: Consumer Hedge

Now assume a soybean oil manufacturer who needs one unit of soybean in six months’ time. He is worried that soybean prices may shoot up in the near future. He can buy (go long) the same soybean future contract to lock the buy price at his desired level of around $10, say $10.10.

If the price of soybean shoots up to say $13, the futures buyer will profit by $2.90 (sell price-buy price = $13 – $10.10) on the futures contract. He will buy the required soybean at the market price of $13, which will lead to a net buy price of -$13 + $2.90 = -$10.10 (negative indicates net outflow for buying).

If the price of soybeans remains at $10, the buyer will lose on the futures contract ($10 – $10.10 = -$0.10). He will buy the required soybean at $10, taking his net buy price to -$10 – $0.10 = -$10.10

If the price declines to $7.50, the buyer will lose on the futures contract ($7.50 – $10.10 = -$2.60). He will buy required soybean at the market price of $7.50, taking his net buy price to -$7.50 – $2.60 = -$10.10.

In all three cases, the soybean oil manufacturer is able to get his desired buy price, by using a futures contract. Effectively, the actual crop produce is bought at available market rates. The fluctuation in prices is mitigated by the futures contract.

Risks

Using the same futures contract at the same price, quantity, and expiry, the hedging requirements for both the soybean farmer (producer) and the soybean oil manufacturer (consumer) are met. Both were able to secure their desired price to buy or sell the commodity in the future. The risk did not pass anywhere but was mitigated—one was losing on higher profit potential at the expense of the other.

Both parties can mutually agree with this set of defined parameters, leading to a contract to be honored in the future (constituting a forward contract). The futures exchange matches the buyer or seller, enabling price discovery and standardization of contracts while taking away counter-party default risk, which is prominent in mutual forward contracts.

Challenges to Hedging

While hedging is encouraged, it does come with its own set of unique challenges and considerations. Some of the most common include the following:

  • Margin money is required to be deposited, which may not be readily available. Margin calls may also be required if the price in the futures market moves against you, even if you own the physical commodity.
  • There may be daily mark-to-market requirements.
  • Using futures takes away the higher profit potential in some cases (as cited above). It can lead to different perceptions in cases of large organizations, especially the ones having multiple owners or those listed on stock exchanges. For example, shareholders of a sugar company may be expecting higher profits due to an increase in sugar prices last quarter but may be disappointed when the announced quarterly results indicate that profits were nullified due to hedging positions.
  • Contract size and specifications may not always perfectly fit the required hedging coverage. For example, one contract of arabica coffee “C” futures covers 37,500 pounds of coffee and may be too large or disproportionate to fit the hedging requirements of a producer/consumer. Small-sized mini-contracts, if available, might be explored in this case.
  • Standard available futures contracts might not always match the physical commodity specifications, which could lead to hedging discrepancies. A farmer growing a different variant of coffee may not find a futures contract covering his quality, forcing him to take only available robusta or arabica contracts. At the time of expiry, his actual sale price may be different than the hedge available from the robusta or arabica contracts.
  • If the futures market is not efficient and not well regulated, speculators can dominate and impact the futures prices drastically, leading to price discrepancies at entry and exit (expiration), which undo the hedge.

The Bottom Line

With new asset classes opening up through local, national, and international exchanges, hedging is now possible for anything and everything. Commodity options are an alternative to futures that can be used for hedging. Care should be taken when assessing hedging securities to ensure they meet your needs. Bear in mind that hedgers should not get enticed by speculative gains. When hedging, careful consideration and focus can achieve the desired results.

Commodity Blog

Commodity news, technical and fundamental analysis, market data on precious metals, energies, industrial metals, and soft commodities

Best Binary Options Brokers 2020:
  • BINARIUM
    BINARIUM

    Top Broker!
    Best Choice For Beginners!
    Free Trading Education!
    Free Demo Account!
    Big Sign-up Bonus!

  • BINOMO
    BINOMO

    Perfect For Experienced Traders!

Like this post? Please share to your friends:
How To Choose Binary Options Broker 2020
Leave a Reply

;-) :| :x :twisted: :smile: :shock: :sad: :roll: :razz: :oops: :o :mrgreen: :lol: :idea: :grin: :evil: :cry: :cool: :arrow: :???: :?: :!: