Buying Soybeans Call Options to Profit from a Rise in Soybeans Prices

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The Basics Of Option Prices

Options are contracts that give option buyers the right to buy or sell a security at a predetermined price on or before a specified day. The price of an option, called the premium, is composed of a number of variables. Options traders need to be aware of these variables so they can make an informed decision about when to trade an option.

When purchasing an options contract, the biggest driver of outcomes is the underlying stock’s price movement. A call buyer needs the stock to rise, whereas a put buyer needs it to fall. But there is more to an options price than that! Let’s dig deeper into why an option costs what it does, and why the value of the option changes.

Key Takeaways

  • Options prices, known as premiums, are composed of the sum of its intrinsic and extrinsic value.
  • Intrinsic value is the amount of money received immediately if an option were exercised and the underlying disposed of at market prices—it is calculated as the current underlying price less the strike price.
  • Extrinsic value of an option is that which exceeds the option’s premium above its intrinsic value – it is composed of a probabilistic element influenced mainly by time to expiration and volatility.
  • In-the-money options have both intrinsic and extrinsic value elements, while out-of-the-money options only have extrinsic value.

Intrinsic Value

The option’s premium is made up of two parts: intrinsic value and extrinsic value (sometimes known as the option’s time value).

Intrinsic value is how much of the premium is made up of the price difference between the current stock price and the strike price. For instance, assume you own a call option on a stock that is currently trading at $49 per share. The strike price of the option is $45, and the option premium is $5. Because the stock is currently $4 more than the strike’s price, then $4 of the $5 premium is comprised of intrinsic value, which means that the remaining dollar has to be made up of extrinsic value.

We can also figure out how much we need the stock to move in order to profit by adding the price of the premium to the strike price: $5 + $45 = $50. Our break-even point is $50, which means the stock must move above $50 before we can profit (not including commissions).

Options with intrinsic value are said to be in the money (ITM), and options with only extrinsic value are said to be out of the money (OTM).

Options with more extrinsic value are less sensitive to the stock’s price movement while options with a lot of intrinsic value are more in sync with the stock price. An option’s sensitivity to the underlying stock’s movement is called delta. A delta of 1.0 tells investors that the option will likely move dollar for dollar with the stock, whereas a delta of 0.6 means the option will move approximately 60 cents for every dollar the stock moves.

The delta for puts is represented as a negative number, which demonstrates the inverse relationship of the put compared to the stock movement. A put with a delta of -0.4 should raise 40 cents in value if the stock drops $1.

Extrinsic Value

Extrinsic value is often referred to as time value, but that is only partially correct. It is also composed of implied volatility that fluctuates as demand for options fluctuates. There are also influences from interest rates and stock dividends.

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Time value is the portion of the premium above the intrinsic value that an option buyer pays for the privilege of owning the contract for a certain period. Over time, the time value gets smaller as the option expiration date gets closer—the further out the expiry date, the more time premium an option buyer will pay for. The closer to expiration a contract becomes, the faster the time value melts.

Time value is measured by the Greek letter theta. Option buyers need to have particularly efficient market timing because theta eats away at the premium. A common mistake option investors make is allowing a profitable trade to sit long enough that theta reduces the profits substantially.

For example, a trader may buy an option at $1, and see it increase to $5. Of the $5 premium, only $4 is intrinsic value. If the stock price doesn’t move any further, the premium of the option will slowly degrade to $4 at expiry. A clear exit strategy should be set before buying an option.

Implied volatility, also known as vega, can inflate the option premium if traders expect volatility. High volatility increases the chance of a stock moving past the strike price, so option traders will demand a higher price for the options they are selling.

This is why well-known events like earnings are often less profitable for option buyers than originally anticipated. While a big move in the stock may occur, option prices are usually quite high before such events which offsets the potential gains.

On the flip side, when a stock is very calm, option prices tend to fall, making them relatively cheap to buy. Although, unless volatility expands again, the option will stay cheap, leaving little room for profit.

The Bottom Line

Options can be useful to hedge your risk or speculate, since they give you the right, not obligation, to buy/sell a security at a predetermined price. The option premium is determined by intrinsic and extrinsic value. Intrinsic value is the moneyness of the option, while extrinsic value has more components. Before taking an options trade, consider the variables in play, have a plan for entry and have a plan for exiting. (For related reading, see “Understanding How Dividends Affect Option Prices”)

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How to Invest in Soybeans

Investors can gain direct exposure to soybeans by purchasing futures, options and exchange-traded investments.

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Soybeans are one of the largest agricultural crops produced in the Unites States. According to the EPA, approximately 2.8 billion bushels of soybeans were harvested from almost 73 million acres of cropland in the United States in 2000. This provides an enormous investment opportunity. While investors can participate indirectly by owning fertilizer companies and other agricultural stocks, there are only three investment vehicles that provide direct exposure to soybean prices: futures, futures options and exchange-traded investments. Each of these investment types have distinct features that should be considered.

Individuals can invest in soybeans using futures contracts and other exchange-traded assets.

Understanding Soybean Futures

A futures contract is described by the National Futures Association (NFA) as a legal obligation to buy or sell a commodity or financial instrument at a later date. Soybean futures are traded on the Chicago Board of Trade in either open outcry (trading pit) or electronic format.

One contract represents 5,000 bushels of soybeans, while one mini-sized contract represents 1,000 bushels. Contract holders (buyers) are legally obligated to take physical delivery upon expiration. To avoid physical delivery, contract holders can exit their positions prior to expiration.

Purchasing Soybean Futures Options

Another way to avoid physical delivery is to purchase options on soybean futures. CME Group defines futures options as contracts that give the bearer the right, but not the obligation to buy or sell futures within a specified time period at a predetermined (strike) price. Investors desiring the right to buy soybean futures purchase “calls,” while those wanting the right to sell soybean futures buy “puts.” Options may be traded for gain or used as insurance against loss. If left unexercised, options expire worthless.

Exploring Exchange-traded Investments

Exchange-traded investments in soybeans include ETFs, ETNs and commodity pools. They’re traded on the New York Stock Exchange, can be actively or passively managed and have an internal expense ratio. The PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) is a diversified agricultural ETF that invests in soybean, corn, live cattle and many other agricultural futures.

The iPath Grains Total Return Sub-Index (JJG) is an ETN that invests only in soybean, corn and wheat futures. The Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB) is a commodity pool that invests solely in soybean futures. Each of these funds offer different levels of diversification. Investors can take long and short positions, allowing them to profit whether prices rise or fall.

Other Valuable Considerations

While soybean futures, options and exchange-traded investments come with their own unique risks, they’re all affected by the same overall market influences that determine supply and demand. Investors should keep a constant eye on acreage intentions, carry costs and expenses, crop yields, international trade, stockpiles and weather. As these dynamic influences continually change, prices respond accordingly.

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