3 Moving Averages Binary Options Strategy

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3 Exponential Moving Averages Rainbow Binary Options Strategy

You need a solid binary options strategy if you want to make an income by trading BOs. As we said in the last post, the thing that we like about binary options is that you can win 80% return in just 1 minute. Did you read the last post on a 1 minute binary options strategy?

Now for most traders trading 1 minute binary options can be too fast. Don’t worry you can use the same strategy on 5 minute, 15 minute or even 30 minute. What works on 1 minute also works on 5 minutes, 15 minutes and 30 minutes. We can use the very same price action patterns on 1 minute, 5 minute, 15 minute and 30 minutes and even H4, Daily and Weekly. Long time back we stopped scalping and instead started trading binary options. We now only swing trade.

3 Exponential Moving Average Rainbow Strategy Infographic

Below you can see the infographic of this 3 EMA Rainbow Binary Options Strategy.

Choose 6EMA, 14 EMA and 26 EMA and save the template as BinaryOptionsStrategy. Now we will only trade when there is a strong trend. How do we know there is a strong trend? We wait for 6EMA to go above 14 EMA and 14 EMA to go above 26 EMA. This is a strong uptrend. We wait for price to retrace and close between 6 EMA and 14 EMA. Now wait for a bullish candlestick signal. When you get one, buy a call option with expiry 30 minutes if you are trading on 5 minute chart and if you are trading on 1 minute chart, buy a 5 minute call option.

In the same manner, wait for 6 EMA to go below 14 EMA and 14 EMA to go below 26 EMA. Now just as above wait for price to go between 6 EMA and 14 EMA. Wait for a bearish candlestick pattern like a pinbar, bearish engulfing or a harami pattern to form. When it does buy a put option with expiry 30 minutes if trading on 5 minute chart and a 5 minute put option with trading on 1 minute chart. You can also watch the video below that explains this binary options strategy in detail.

Combine Candlestick Reversal Patterns With This Strategy

Now you must be amazed at the simplicity of this binary options strategy. Simple systems are the best trading systems. As said above first we let the trend develop. We are not catching the tops or the bottoms. We just wait for the trend to develop. Then we wait for price to make a retracement. When price makes a retracement we enter in the direction of the trend. We use candlestick trend reversal pattern as our entry signal. This is something very important for you to understand. Candlestick reversal patterns ensure that you don’t get stuck up with a whipsaw. Candlestick reversal patterns that you can use are the engulfing pattern, haramic, dojis, shooting stars, hammers, inverted hammers etc.

Risk Management Is Very Important In Binary Options Trading

When you are trading binary options you must know that you are always winning less than what you are risking. The return is 70-80% and is not 100%. If the return is 100% you are making as much as you are risking. What this means? This means that if you lose you will have to win 2 trades in a row to recover the loss. This is unlike forex where you are choose high reward/risk trades something like 5:1 and 10:1 which ensure that you always win more than you lose. So in binary options trading you need a high winrate if you want to see your account grow.

High winrate means you should have a proven and tested trading system with good results otherwise you will only lose in binary options. Just keep this in mind. In the above binary options strategy there can be whipsaw. In order to avoid whipsaw we only trade when we have a candlestick reversal pattern. This ensures that we are trading in the direction of momentum.

Just like forex, you should follow risk management strictly in binary options trading. At no point of time you should risk more than 2% of your account equity on a trade. Let us make this clear with an example. Suppose you have $500 in your account as equity. You are only going to open $10 trade. When you grow your account to $1000 then you will increase the trade size to $20. Following risk management strictly ensures that you avoid taking a catastrophic loss. There is no big home run in binary options trading. All trades have the same return. Only consistent winning will make sure that you are going to grow your account. So you need a lot of discipline when it comes to trading binary options.

Having said that, you should first practice the above binary options strategy on demo account. Make sure you get the hang of it and know when you enter. In trading binary options there is only one thing: correct entry. After that the trade is set and forget. So focus on making correct entry. Ensure that you enter at the right time because timing is everything in trading binary options.

Binary Options Strategy

Welcome to our binary options strategy section. Here you will find a beginners guide to strategies, leading on to more advanced information about things like money management, and articles on specific strategies.

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Basic Strategy For Successful Trading

Strategy is one of the most important factors in successful binary options trading. It is the framework from which you base your trade decisions, including your money management rules, and how you go about making money from the market. There is no one Holy Grail unfortunately, if there were then we’d all be using it!

The two most very basic categories of strategy are:

Fundamental strategies focus on the underlying health of companies, indices, markets and economies and while important to understand, is not as important to binary options as the technical aspect of trading.

Technical trading, or technical analysis, is the measurement of charts and price action, looking for patterns and making educated guesses, speculations, from those measurements and patterns.

Strategy simplifies your trading, takes guesswork out of choosing entry and reduces overall risk.

The text book definition reads like this; a plan of action designed to achieve a goal or overall aim, the art of planning and directing operations in order to achieve victory. When it comes to trading the goal is to 1) make money and 2) not lose money.

The number one method of achieving this goal is to use a rules based approach to choosing entries that relies on ages old, tried and true technical analysis indicators. There are dozens, possibly hundreds if not thousands, of ways to trade the market, all strategies. They can be categorized in terms of the tools used, the time frames intended, the amount of risk associated with and many other ways, these being the primary.

  • Price Action/Scalping Strategies – Price action strategies rely on the movement of the market to time entry. These can be trend following or not, long or short term and utilize bullish or bearish positions.
  • Trend Following/Directional Strategies – Trend following strategies target assets that are trending strongly to pinpoint a series of profitable entries with a high rate of success.
  • Range Bound/Short Term Strategies – 99% of the time the market, or an individual asset, is not trending but trading in a range within a high and low mark. These strategies focus on support and resistance levels, reversals within the range and short term trends as asset prices move up or down from support to resistance and vice versa.
  • Long Term/Momentum Strategies – These are the less risky of the strategies as they target stronger signals and longer term time frames. These signals have a higher chance of success but take longer to develop and longer to unfold than other types of signals.

A technical analysis indicator is, most often, a mathematical formula which converts price action into an easy to read visual format. Common types of indicators include but are not limited to moving averages, trend lines, support and resistance, oscillators and Japanese Candlesticks.

Money Management

Strategy is 1 of the 2 pillars of risk management, the other is money management. You control risk by targeting only good signals, weeding out obviously bad signals, and never putting so much money on one trade that it will wipe out your account.

Money management is the control of your overall trading fund. It should clarify trade size, and long term financial management – leaving you to focus only on trading. A well thought out money management structure should simplify:

  • Trade size
  • Risk management
  • Future growth
  • Stress

A trader with a clear financial plan should not need to be concerned with whether they can trade tomorrow, or if their trade size is correct or how they might grow investments in line with their progress. All those decisions are controlled by managing their overall capital with a clear plan.

Japanese Candlesticks

This is the most common method of viewing price charts. The candlesticks give an easy to read view of prices, open high low and close, that jumps off the charts in way that no other charting style can do. They are the basis of most price action strategies and can be used to give signals as well as to confirm other indicators.

Support And Resistance

These are areas of price action on the asset chart that are likely to stop prices when they are reached. Support is found when prices stop falling, this happens when buyers step into the market and are said to be “supporting prices”. Resistance is found when prices stop rising, this happens when sellers enter the market (or buyers disappear) and are said to be “resisting higher prices”. These areas, often represented by horizontal lines, are good targets for entries and possible areas where price action may reverse.

Trend Lines

These lines connect highs and lows formed by asset price as it moves up down and sideways. A series of higher lows and higher highs is considered to be an uptrend and a sign that prices are likely to move higher, a series of lower highs and lower lows is considered to be a downtrend and a sign that prices are likely to move lower. The trend line can be used as a target for support and resistance, as well as a an entry point for trend following strategies.

Moving Averages

Moving averages take an average of an assets prices over X number of days and then plots those values as a line on the price chart. Moving averages come in many forms and are often used to determine trend, provide targets for support and resistance and to indicate entries. There are dozens of methods of deriving moving averages, the most common include Simple Moving Averages, Exponential Moving Averages, volume weighted moving averages and many more. They can be used in any time frame, and set to any time frame, for multiple time frame analysis and to give crossover signals.

Oscillators

Oscillators may be the single largest division of indicators used for technical analysis. They include tools like MACD, stochastic, RSI and many, many others. These tools, in general, use price action and moving averages in a combination of ways to determine market health. They are displayed as a stand alone tool, usually as a line that ranges between two extremes or above and below a mid point, that can help determine trend, direction, support/resistance, market strength, momentum and entry signals.

Trading Psychology

With any form of trading, psychology can play a big part. A lack of confidence can mean missed trades, or investing too little capital in winnings trades. At the other end of the spectrum, over-confidence can lead to over trading, or increased risk – either of which could wipe an account very quickly.

So the trading psychology of the trader is very important. It can also be actively controlled or managed (at the very least, acknowledged). It is another often overlooked area of trading skill, but one well worth spending time to consider.

Read more on trading psychology and learning from experience.

A Basic Binary Options Strategy

Here is an example of some basic rules for a binary options strategy.

  • The trend is your friend, only take trend following entries.
  • In an uptrend only enter when prices are near support, in a downtrend only enter when prices are near resistance.
  • When prices are near support/resistance wait for a confirming candlestick signal.
  • When the candlestick signal appears wait for stochastic and/or MACD to confirm, a bullish crossover in an uptrend or a bearish crossover in a downtrend.
  • When rules 1 through 4 are met, enter the trade, only use 3% of account on each trade.
  • When choosing expiry use 2XCandle length. IE, if you are using 1 minute candles then 2 minute expiry, if 1 hour candles then 2 hour expiry.
  • If the trade fails examine why it did not work, make adjustment if necessary and move on to the next trade. If the trade works move on to the next trade.

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Strategies for Different Markets

Choosing a Trading Strategy

Developing a trading strategy for the binary options market requires a key understanding of how the market operates in terms of the trade contracts available, the various expiry times, and the understanding of the behaviour of the individual assets.

Unlike the forex market where the asset has to move in one direction or the other by an appreciable number of pips to the trader’s favour before profits are made, the binary options market is peculiar. Apart from the Up/Down trade which is based on direction and mimics the requirements of the trades in other markets (except the pip movements), other trade types in the binary option market operate in totally different ways. There are different trade contracts for different platforms. Some binary options contracts do not even require the trader to get the direction of the asset correct. For instance, trading the OUT contract will need the asset to hit one price boundary or the other for profit to be made. So it takes the trader being able to identify a suitable trade contract to be able to fashion a suitable strategy. What is used to trade the Up/Down contract is not the same as will be used for the In/Out contract. The contract type will determine the strategy.

For instance, trading the Up/Down contract will require a strategy that can determine if the asset will make a bullish or bearish movement. Trading the In/Out contract will require either a range trading strategy or a breakout trading strategy to identify a time when the asset stays in a range or breaks out of that range. If you are looking to develop a trading strategy for the In/Out trade, this is how your mind should be working.

In developing a strategy based on the binary options trade types to be traded, there are tools that can assist the trader. This is where chart patterns, signals services, candlesticks and technical indicators will come in. A simple tool like the pivot point calculator can be used as part of a TOUCH trade strategy with very effective results. Using tools like these will take us to the next part of choosing a strategy, which is how to understand and set expiry times.

Understanding Expiry Times

Expiry times are very important to binary options, because all trades in this market have time limits. However, not all binary options trades require time limits to be successful. Trades such as the Up/Down trades must reach expiry before the trade outcome is known. In contrast, trades such as the OUT component of the boundary trade or the TOUCH component of the High Yield Touch or Touch/No Touch trade contract must not necessarily reach maturity before the outcome of the trade is known. If a trader bets on a TOUCH outcome and the asset touches the strike price well before expiry, the trade outcome is already known and the trade is terminated as a profitable one.

So if the trader is not very good at setting expiry times/dates (and really, no trader in the market can boast of getting his expiry settings right all the time here), the binary options trading strategy will have to be tailored towards trade contracts which are not totally expiry-dependent.

Now when you identify and separate trades that are not so dependent on expiries from those that are, you can better understand what kind of strategy you would be looking at.

Understanding Asset Behaviour

The binary options market combines assets from different asset classes into one market. These assets do not behave alike. Some assets are very volatile with large intraday movements. A very clear example is gold. Some binary options assets are not traded round the clock but only at specific times e.g. the stock indices. The factors that may trigger a massive move in a stock index would obviously not be the same for a commodity or a currency. Even within the same asset class, no two instruments are exactly the same or behave alike.

An understanding of asset behaviour is therefore key to being able to develop a trading strategy for the market. It is up to the trader to study the behaviour of assets, understand the technical and fundamental indicators that will influence the behaviour and price movement of that asset, and then create a trading strategy that will work for that asset.

Demonstration

In this section, we will demonstrate the application of all the parameters we have mentioned above using a simple but effective trade strategy.

– The strategy we will use determines price bullishness/bearishness, so we will trade a Call/Put contract.

– We will trade the strategy on a one hour chart, so it will be have an expiry of one hour. We do this using our understanding that the effect we want to trade on the hourly chart, will happen in an hour.

– We want to use this on an asset that is liquid and responds to the strategy. So we will use the EURUSD.

The strategy has been used to create a colour-coded indicator, which shows a green arrow on bullish signals and a red arrow for bearish signals. It aims to trade the EURUSD because this currency responds very well to price stimuli during the London/New York overlap in the forex time zone, and the response can be delivered in an hour.

As soon as the red arrow appeared (as shown above), the signal was to trade a PUT option on the Call/Put digital option. Using this signal, the trade was executed on the binary options platform. The price of the asset (EURUSD) fell in one hour from the time the signal was generated to the expiry, producing a trade result in our favour.

This strategy (a custom strategy) fulfilled all our conditions:

a) It was suited to a trade contract on the binary options market.

b) It was a strategy that was suited to help the trader use a suitable expiry.

c) It was suited to the behaviour of the asset and above all, THE STRATEGY WAS A PROFITABLE ONE.

How To Trade with The Moving averages and RSI Strategy

By using moving averages and the Relative Strength Index, you can construct a strategy that delivers effective yet simple trades.

What is a ‘moving average’? It is the simple average over a certain number of periods. This technical indicator aids you in trading with the trend. Being lagging indicators, they do not predict future trends but instead give confirmation of trend continuation. Upward trending moving averages indicates an uptrend and vice versa.

Many traders look at the 50-, 100- and 200-day Moving Averages of asset prices but we can also use Fibonacci numbers such as 13, 21, 34 and so on to capture herd behaviour in the market. Exponential moving averages can also be used, placing more weight on the most recent periods.

Whatever the variant of moving averages, find the best one that generates reliable signals for the trading instrument. Moving averages are easy to interpret; if the price is above the moving average bullish momentum is dominating, if it is trading below the moving average then bearish momentum is dominant.

What is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?

The strategy blueprint

The moving average & RSI strategy utilises both of these indicators to work together as a system. To follow the system, we need to examine the conditions for entry, stop loss and take profit of trades.

Entry: There are two types of crossovers with respect to moving averages that form the foundation of this strategy.

  • Firstly, when the price action closes above or below the moving average, it indicates that resistance or support has been broken and there is a shift in momentum. This can be used to determine entries into long or short positions, for instance, when the price closes below a moving average, it indicates support has been broken and a shift to bearish momentum so we should look to sell.
  • The second type of crossover is when the short-term moving average crosses over the longer-term moving average. You can use this to identify strengthening momentum in one direction. For instance, when the short-term moving average crosses above the longer-term moving average, this generates a buy signal.

Also, the RSI is used to confirm the moving average signals. The equilibrium level for the RSI is 50, where if the index is above 50 this suggests bullish momentum. When it is below 50, this indicates bearish momentum. So when the moving averages generate a signal, you can use the RSI to check if momentum is strong enough to justify taking your trade.

Stop Loss: The moving averages can be used to exit a trade when it turns out to be unsuccessful to limit your risk. You would place stops just above or below the moving averages since these are important resistance or support levels. For example, if the price action closes above the moving averages, then we would place the stop loss just below the moving averages as they will now provide support.

Take Profit: This is where the RSI comes in. This index indicates overbought and oversold regions and suggests a reversal is more likely when the index is within these regions. Therefore, you should hold your position until the RSI enters the overbought region for buy positions or the oversold region for sell positions.

Illustrative examples

The chart below illustrates how to use this strategy. The first white arrow indicates that the price action closed above both of the moving averages giving a bullish signal. EUR-USD closed above both moving averages at 1.08919, which is illustrated by the yellow ray, and this provided an indication that an upward trend was starting. Also, the RSI was higher than 50 at this point confirming bullish momentum.

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Long positions or call options would then be entered into at this price and once that candle closed on the hour. Then we should look at the 13-period moving average (orange line) to provide support and exit the trade if the price closes below this moving average.

The long position is held until the RSI indicates overbought conditions in the market, that is when the RSI is larger than 70. This also signals that the uptrend may soon reverse. Overbought conditions are indicated by the RSI and with the white arrow on the chart. This occurs on the hourly close at 1.09535 and this would be your exit price, indicated by the yellow ray. Notice that a few hours after this, EUR-USD started to move lower and broke back below the moving averages.

Another buy signal was provided by the crossover of the moving averages indicated on the chart by the second white arrow. When the 13-period moving average crossed above the 21-period moving average, the price closed at 1.0924. Bullish momentum is confirmed as at this entry the RSI is larger than 50. The exit is still the same at 1.09535.

Now let’s look at another example but for a short position. The chart below shows GBP-USD on the daily timeframe. The slower moving average is trending above the faster moving average indicating a downward trend. The best strategy in this case is to wait for the price to test the resistance provided by the moving averages and then enter a short position when the price action closes back below the moving averages.

For example, in the chart above the price action briefly trades above the moving averages for a few days in December. Then we obtained a sell signal when the daily close was below both of the moving averages at 1.50348 indicated by the white arrow. Also, using the RSI we see that the index indicates bearish momentum since it is below 50.

So a short position or put option would be entered into at this level 1.50348. The stop loss would be either of the moving averages and an exit point is reached once the market is indicated to be oversold which occurred when the price action closed around 1.4400.

Advantages and limitations

Using shorter time periods for moving averages is more likely to lead to false signals whereas longer period moving averages are likely to give more successful signals. Similarly, using technical indicators on longer-term timeframes provides more reliable signals than those on lower timeframes. The strategy is best used on the 4-hour, daily or weekly timeframe.

Purely technical analysis most also watch out for any fundamentals and the economic calendar. Traders just focusing on technical aspects will get a shock when an unexpected data reading is released. Therefore it is important to be aware of any important data releases that may affect your trade plan based on this strategy.

In summary, this strategy is easy to use, effective and can be used to trade a range of instruments. By using Fibonacci numbers for the moving average period captures herd behaviour in the market. Two types of crossovers generate entry signals which should be confirmed with the RSI. Exits are determined by both the moving average and RSI depending on whether the trade is successful or not. When making a trade, you just wait for the RSI to indicate overbought or oversold conditions and then exit with your profit.

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